Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 3-2
Atlantas vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlantas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
DIF
1 - 0
ATL
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
ATL
12 - 0
DAI
80%
14%
7%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
KRU
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
FKE
2 - 1
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
FAS
3 - 1
ATL
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
DIF
1 - 0
ATL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
DIF
2 - 0
F91
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
DIF
3 - 0
RAC
79%
15%
7%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SWI
0 - 7
DIF
14%
22%
65%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
JEU
0 - 2
DIF
46%
24%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |