Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 1-5
Atlantas vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlantas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
KRU
1 - 2
ATL
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
4 - 2
ZAL
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
KZA
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ZAL
2 - 0
ATL
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
KZA
1 - 0
ATL
22%
26%
52%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
LUD
1 - 1
BER
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
BOT
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BER
3 - 1
LOV
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
LSO
0 - 1
BER
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
BER
0 - 0
CSK
50%
27%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |