Atlanta vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
PLA
56%
27%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
RIV
4 - 1
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 2
BAR
56%
26%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 2
ATL
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
SUA
1 - 1
ATL
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
COL
40%
30%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
STM
1 - 0
DEF
45%
29%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 2
COM
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
VSC
0 - 2
DEF
34%
29%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 1
UAI
41%
29%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |