Atlanta vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 4
ATL
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
STM
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 0
ATL
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
FEN
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
ATL
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 1
EST
37%
30%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
SUA
1 - 0
DEF
43%
28%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIE
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 0
DEF
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
STM
50%
29%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |