Atlanta vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
ACA
61%
23%
15%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
RIE
2 - 2
ATL
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
EST
36%
29%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 1
ATL
82%
14%
4%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
COM
39%
29%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 3
DEF
36%
29%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
33%
30%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
DEF
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
FEN
40%
29%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |