Atlanta United vs Charlotte Independence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 2
MIN
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CFS
0 - 0
AFC
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 2
CIN
43%
24%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
PHU
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NYC
1 - 1
AFC
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 3
CHA
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 4
RHO
82%
12%
6%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
GTR
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
SCU
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | 0 |