Atl. Villar vs Moncada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
65.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Villar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 0
VIL
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 0
SPO
46%
23%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ELI
3 - 1
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
PED
15%
19%
65%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 3
CFU
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 3
CRA
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
MON
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 3
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
RAC
85%
10%
4%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |