Atl. Villar vs A. Moncadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Villar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
VIL
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
PED
23%
21%
56%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 1
VIL
43%
23%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 3
PAT
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CFU
1 - 3
VIL
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
A. Moncadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
HIS
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RAY
3 - 0
ATL
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ELI
3 - 1
ATL
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
ALB
50%
22%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PED
1 - 1
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |