Athletic Nueva Jarilla vs Algaida Ud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Nueva Jarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
UDT
1 - 2
ATH
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ATH
2 - 1
UDB
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
ATH
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ATH
3 - 3
ATL
51%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SID
1 - 1
ATH
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Algaida Ud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 1
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
UDT
2 - 0
ALG
21%
22%
58%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALG
3 - 0
EST
64%
20%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
UDB
2 - 3
ALG
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 0
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |