FA Cup Previa 1
Global 7-5
Athletic Newham vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Newham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
ESS
4 - 1
ANF
17%
19%
64%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TIL
0 - 3
ANF
11%
16%
73%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
ANF
0 - 0
ROM
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAF
0 - 4
ANF
38%
22%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ANF
1 - 2
WOT
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 1
TOO
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
TOO
1 - 1
RAY
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
TOO
3 - 1
COR
29%
26%
45%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
TOO
2 - 0
GLE
11%
15%
73%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
UXB
0 - 4
TOO
80%
13%
6%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +2 |