Athletic Club Morelos vs Ocelotes de la UNACH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Club Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ORI
4 - 1
ATM
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 1
RCU
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
JAS
0 - 0
ATM
38%
25%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AME
0 - 0
ATM
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 2
PUE
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ocelotes de la UNACH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
OUN
1 - 0
AME
36%
25%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PUE
1 - 0
OUN
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
OUN
2 - 0
IPC
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TIA
2 - 1
OUN
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
OUN
2 - 1
VER
54%
21%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |