Athletic Fregenal vs UP Segureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BIE
1 - 3
ATH
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 2
VIL
34%
22%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CDB
2 - 0
ATH
69%
16%
15%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 2
ACE
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UP Segureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SEG
2 - 0
BIE
71%
17%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
SEG
19%
20%
62%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SEG
4 - 0
CDB
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ACE
0 - 2
SEG
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SEG
2 - 1
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |