Athletic Fregenal vs Monesterio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
65%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ATH
1 - 3
SEG
30%
23%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ATH
1 - 4
MER
25%
22%
54%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
UDF
2 - 1
ATH
70%
16%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SPR
0 - 0
ATH
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CDV
2 - 0
ATH
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monesterio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MON
2 - 1
MER
49%
21%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UDF
2 - 0
MON
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MON
2 - 0
SPR
61%
19%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CDV
1 - 2
MON
56%
20%
24%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MON
2 - 2
CDB
32%
22%
47%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |