Athletic Fregenal vs Juventud UVA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
ATH
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SEG
2 - 0
ATH
61%
20%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MER
3 - 0
ATH
56%
20%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 4
UDF
47%
22%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OLV
0 - 4
ATH
46%
22%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud UVA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 1
JUV
60%
19%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 10
SPR
43%
21%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 4
CDV
29%
21%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |