Athletic vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
ATH
2 - 1
MUD
23%
24%
54%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OSA
2 - 1
ATH
35%
27%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
MUD
2 - 3
ATH
78%
14%
7%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ATH
2 - 0
RSO
71%
18%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
PSV
1 - 1
VCF
46%
25%
29%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VCF
2 - 2
MLL
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 2
PSV
59%
22%
20%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 1
VCF
19%
25%
56%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 2
SEV
60%
21%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |