Athletic vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VAD
2 - 2
ATH
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 1
ATH
61%
21%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 4
SEV
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CDT
1 - 0
ATH
38%
25%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ATH
3 - 2
VIL
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SPO
4 - 1
MLL
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
OSA
1 - 0
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 1
ZAR
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
VCF
2 - 2
SPO
78%
14%
7%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALM
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |