Athletic vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
12.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATH
37%
23%
40%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
ATH
2 - 2
VCF
63%
18%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1945 |
ATH
3 - 2
VCF
61%
19%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1945 |
ATH
4 - 1
ESP
76%
14%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 3
ATM
58%
20%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
ALC
1 - 1
OVI
35%
21%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
OVI
1 - 0
ESP
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1945 |
ESP
2 - 1
OVI
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 2
ATM
57%
20%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |