Athletic vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
73%
15%
13%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
ATH
3 - 2
VCF
77%
14%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
SEV
3 - 1
ATH
51%
21%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
OSA
2 - 2
ATH
30%
23%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
ATH
4 - 1
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
RSO
2 - 0
RJA
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
RJA
0 - 2
RMA
17%
21%
62%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
RJA
1 - 1
UDL
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
FCB
6 - 1
RJA
91%
6%
3%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
RJA
1 - 0
VCF
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |