Athletic vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
7%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
6.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
RSO
1 - 1
ATH
48%
22%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ATH
1 - 1
ATM
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATH
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ATH
2 - 2
SEV
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
DEP
2 - 0
ATH
32%
24%
45%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
RJA
5 - 3
OSA
68%
17%
14%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
RMA
6 - 0
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
RJA
3 - 1
VCF
31%
23%
46%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
CEL
0 - 0
RJA
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
RJA
6 - 1
SPO
51%
21%
28%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |