Athletic vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1986 |
CAS
0 - 0
ATH
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
SEV
0 - 0
ATH
37%
31%
33%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1986 |
UDL
2 - 2
ATH
35%
30%
35%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
ATH
2 - 0
OSA
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
ATH
1 - 1
ATM
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
OSA
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1986 |
REC
2 - 0
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
ATM
1 - 0
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
HER
2 - 2
ZAR
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
HER
1 - 0
RAC
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |