Athletic vs Getafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATH
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATH
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
ATH
4 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BET
0 - 2
ATH
37%
27%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ATH
1 - 2
ESP
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Getafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
GET
3 - 3
GRA
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BET
2 - 0
GET
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GET
0 - 0
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 1
GET
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GET
0 - 3
RMA
6%
14%
81%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | 0 |