Bilbao Ath. vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
EXT
4 - 2
ATH
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
ATH
2 - 2
ALA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
LOG
3 - 1
ATH
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
ATH
1 - 2
LEG
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
ALM
2 - 1
ATH
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
RMC
3 - 1
LLE
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
EXT
0 - 0
RMC
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
RMC
2 - 0
ECI
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
ALA
2 - 0
RMC
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
RMC
2 - 0
OSA
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |