Bilbao Ath. vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
SSC
2 - 0
ATH
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
TRJ
2 - 0
ATH
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
ATH
0 - 0
UPL
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
CDT
2 - 0
ATH
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
ATH
1 - 1
HUE
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 2
UPL
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
CDT
3 - 0
LUG
75%
18%
7%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
LUG
0 - 0
HUE
56%
26%
17%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
ZAM
2 - 0
LUG
57%
27%
16%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
LUG
0 - 4
LOG
64%
23%
13%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |