Bilbao Ath. vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ARE
2 - 2
ATH
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ATH
4 - 0
RUN
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
RSO
0 - 3
ATH
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 2
UDL
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
GER
2 - 0
IZA
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
GER
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GER
1 - 3
RAC
15%
26%
59%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 0
GER
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
UDL
5 - 1
GER
57%
24%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |