Bilbao Ath. vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MAJ
1 - 0
ATH
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 0
FUE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 3
ATH
42%
28%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ATH
2 - 1
GER
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SDA
2 - 1
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
CDT
5 - 1
ZAM
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UDS
0 - 1
CDT
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 1
CDT
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CDT
0 - 1
MAJ
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CDT
9 - 1
TOL
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |