Athlético Olympic vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 1
ATH
66%
22%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ATH
0 - 2
RUK
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 1
ATH
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 0
KAY
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
STA
3 - 1
ATH
53%
26%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 1
ANM
22%
25%
54%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 2
ANM
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ANM
3 - 1
BUJ
70%
19%
10%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BUM
0 - 1
ANM
24%
26%
51%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ANM
2 - 0
LLF
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |