Copa Argentina 1/512
Global 4-2
Atlético Mitre SdE vs Unión Aconquija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Mitre SdE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 1
SPA
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 3
MIT
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
MIT
2 - 1
JAN
51%
26%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
MIT
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
MIT
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Aconquija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
AHZ
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 0
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAR
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
JAN
1 - 0
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |