Atco. Villanueva vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIS
3 - 0
ATC
49%
23%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ATC
3 - 4
ESP
32%
25%
42%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LCF
1 - 2
ATC
55%
23%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATC
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATC
1 - 0
UTR
15%
22%
63%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UDM
1 - 2
POZ
37%
27%
36%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LCF
1 - 3
UDM
36%
25%
39%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
UDM
1 - 1
ADS
50%
24%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 0
UDM
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UDM
2 - 0
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |