Atco. Villanueva vs C.D. Alcázar B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CDE
0 - 1
ATC
11%
19%
70%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
ATC
28%
24%
49%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ATC
3 - 1
ALM
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VLL
2 - 2
ATC
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ATC
4 - 0
LAS
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
C.D. Alcázar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CDA
0 - 5
REC
9%
18%
73%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CDE
0 - 1
CDA
45%
24%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CDA
1 - 4
ADE
27%
24%
49%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ALM
5 - 0
CDA
75%
16%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CDA
0 - 5
VLL
38%
25%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -2 |