Atco. Villanueva vs Ad El Naranjo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 2
ATC
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ATC
8 - 1
VLL
76%
15%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LAS
2 - 0
ATC
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ATC
1 - 0
76%
16%
9%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CER
4 - 3
ATC
14%
21%
65%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ad El Naranjo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 0
CDA
76%
14%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDE
2 - 2
ADE
29%
24%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
REC
3 - 0
ADE
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ADE
0 - 2
ALM
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VLL
1 - 2
ADE
23%
23%
55%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |