Atalanta vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2000 |
NAP
1 - 0
ATL
39%
29%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2000 |
ATL
1 - 0
RAV
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
TRE
2 - 1
ATL
32%
29%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ATL
1 - 1
COS
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
CES
1 - 1
ATL
30%
29%
41%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2000 |
TER
1 - 3
CHI
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
VIC
0 - 0
TER
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
ALZ
1 - 0
TER
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
TER
2 - 2
GEN
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
FER
2 - 1
TER
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |