Atalanta vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
CAT
0 - 0
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
ATL
5 - 1
MES
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
ASS
0 - 0
ATL
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
ATL
3 - 1
ACP
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
ATL
2 - 1
VER
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 2
BRE
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 1
SSS
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
SSS
0 - 0
REG
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
SSS
0 - 0
VIG
59%
20%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
COM
2 - 2
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |