Europa League . Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Atalanta vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 2
ATL
14%
20%
66%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
ATL
25%
24%
51%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
EMP
85%
11%
5%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 1
FIO
72%
16%
11%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 2
ATL
23%
23%
53%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
ATL
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
LEN
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TFC
2 - 2
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
SLB
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |