Atalanta vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 2
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
SAS
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
REG
0 - 0
ATL
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
SIE
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
PES
70%
20%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOV
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |