Atalanta vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1950 |
ATL
2 - 1
INT
33%
24%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATL
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
SAM
2 - 2
ATL
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
ATL
0 - 0
TOR
25%
23%
52%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
NOV
3 - 2
PRO
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
ASL
2 - 1
NOV
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1950 |
NOV
5 - 2
TOR
22%
23%
56%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
TRI
1 - 0
NOV
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
PAL
3 - 1
NOV
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |