Atalanta vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 2
ROM
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
ACL
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 2
ATL
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NAP
2 - 0
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAG
3 - 3
NAP
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
NAP
3 - 2
BAR
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
NAP
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
NAP
1 - 0
CTT
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |