Atalanta vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
INT
3 - 1
ATL
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 3
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
FIO
3 - 0
ATL
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 0
LAZ
51%
23%
25%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
JUV
2 - 0
ATL
83%
11%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
NAP
2 - 2
TOR
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
PAL
2 - 2
NAP
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
NAP
1 - 2
JUV
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
NAP
0 - 2
GEN
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1954 |
NOV
1 - 1
NAP
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |