Atalanta vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 2
TOR
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 2
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
FIO
3 - 1
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 0
ACM
15%
25%
60%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
MES
0 - 2
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
INT
4 - 0
MES
82%
14%
5%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 0
MES
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
MES
1 - 4
LAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MES
2 - 2
CAG
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |