Atalanta vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 2
ATL
16%
24%
60%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ATL
3 - 0
ABN
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
VIC
2 - 4
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAL
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TRE
0 - 3
ATL
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
LEC
2 - 1
REG
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
LEC
2 - 1
INT
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
JUV
3 - 4
LEC
80%
14%
7%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LEC
2 - 1
UDI
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |