Atalanta vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
NAP
0 - 0
ATL
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
ATL
2 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
ACM
3 - 3
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
ATL
3 - 0
VER
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
BAR
0 - 2
ATL
44%
29%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
LEC
2 - 0
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
INT
0 - 1
LEC
73%
17%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
UDI
2 - 0
LEC
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
REG
0 - 1
LEC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |