Atalanta vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
REG
0 - 0
ATL
24%
29%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
ATL
2 - 1
REG
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
USC
1 - 3
ATL
26%
28%
46%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
ATL
3 - 2
FIO
25%
28%
48%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
LEC
3 - 1
NAP
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
COS
1 - 1
LEC
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
LEC
0 - 1
ASS
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
TER
0 - 1
LEC
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
LEC
2 - 1
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |