Atalanta vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
GEN
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LAZ
1 - 3
ATL
41%
24%
34%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 0
UDI
76%
16%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
FIO
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
NAP
1 - 2
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
CAG
1 - 2
LAZ
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LAZ
1 - 3
ATL
41%
24%
34%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 2
LAZ
41%
26%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
ACM
0 - 1
LAZ
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LAZ
1 - 2
CHI
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |