Atalanta vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOR
54%
23%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
BEN
0 - 3
ATL
14%
24%
63%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 0
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 1
ATL
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAM
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
GEN
3 - 1
VER
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ROM
2 - 1
GEN
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 0
CRO
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
GEN
2 - 1
CAG
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |