Atalanta vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
VER
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ROM
3 - 1
ATL
78%
15%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
SAS
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 2
ATL
41%
28%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
LIV
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 2
CAG
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
GEN
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 2
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VER
3 - 0
GEN
44%
28%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 0
LAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |