Atalanta vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CES
0 - 1
ATL
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
INT
4 - 3
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
OBK
1 - 1
GEN
51%
26%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 2
ROM
26%
23%
50%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 1
OBK
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
GEN
4 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 3
GEN
38%
29%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |