Coppa Italia . Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Atalanta vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 2
ATL
23%
23%
53%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
LIV
22%
20%
58%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 2
VER
86%
10%
4%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 3
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAG
2 - 1
ATL
18%
22%
60%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 2
FIO
26%
25%
49%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
VKP
67%
19%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 1
GEN
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
VKP
0 - 0
FIO
32%
25%
43%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
61%
23%
16%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |