Atalanta vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
ATL
17%
21%
62%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
RMA
35%
23%
41%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
4 - 2
NAP
62%
20%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 1
ATL
12%
18%
70%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 1
NAP
60%
20%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 2
CAG
41%
27%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 0
CRO
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CRO
1 - 2
SAS
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ACM
4 - 0
CRO
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 3
GEN
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |