Atalanta vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 3
ATL
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAG
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
SAM
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 2
ROM
13%
19%
67%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 2
JUV
11%
20%
69%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
CRO
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CRO
4 - 1
EMP
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 2
CRO
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |