Atalanta vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
8 - 2
SAL
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 2
ATL
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 2
ATL
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
ATL
10 - 1
CRE
94%
5%
1%
|
88 | 35 | 53 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 1
AZA
56%
21%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 1
SPE
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 0
LEC
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 2
ATL
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 0
GRO
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 3
SPA
52%
23%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |