Atalanta vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.2%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.3%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
12.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
1.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CAG
0 - 1
ATL
12%
19%
69%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 3
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
ACM
62%
20%
19%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
ROM
0 - 2
ATL
27%
24%
49%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 6
ATL
12%
19%
69%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CES
2 - 1
NUO
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
CES
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FRO
3 - 2
CES
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CES
1 - 1
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CTT
0 - 2
CES
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |